There are also efforts to design a climate prediction market in order to elicit more accurate information. If you believe Umair's predictions and they differ from what the prediction markets claim, you (or he) could earn money from your (or his) allegedly greater insights. But I would certainly not bet on his claims. https://medium.com/hvmd/hivemind-prediction-markets-case-study-the-winton-climate-prediction-market-a80f8a3a8dfe